Presidential Consultant on Health, Dr. Anthony Nsiah-Asare, has stated a model created for coronavirus infections in Ghana projects that 10% of the population is most likely to test positive.
Speaking on Joy News’ PM Express on Tuesday night, the President’s advisor on health stated out of the 10% predicted infections, the majority of the cases are likely to be asymptomatic.
“We anticipate that about 10% of the population might be infected and out of the 10% of the population 80% might not show indications or signs at all and 5% of them will be very ill, that is the projection,” he said.
With these forecasts, if Ghana’s population is estimated at 30 million, it implies some three million Ghanaians might evaluate favorable for the COVID-19 when infections peak.
Also, 5% of the predicted 3 million infections falling seriously ill suggests that a minimum of 150, 000 of the population will fall within this category.
Out of the 150,000 individuals whose infection will be critical, 10% of will be fatal; which implies 15,000 deaths would have been recorded prior to Ghana gets out of the woods.
President’s advisor on health, however, stated this modeling might not apply strictly to Ghana because of the observed characteristics of the existing cases throughout the nation.
“If you look at the cases that we are seeing, the cases that are getting important are extremely, really little … it indicates, we have a scenario where this hypothesis might be the case in Ghana,” he clarified.
The President’s Advisor on Health, nevertheless, could not say when infections will peak in Ghana.
Ghana’s coronavirus caseload as of Sunday, April 19, 2020, stood at 1,042, a considerable increase in previous figures that have actually obliged lots of Ghanaians to criticize a decision to lift a lockdown directive.
President Nana Akufo-Addo announced the lifting of the three-week lockdown troubled some four cities. These cities– Accra, Tema, Kasoa, and Kumasi– were put under lockdown at a time when the country had less than 30 cases of infection.
President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo has actually consistently stated his federal government’s response to the coronavirus situation in the nation is backed by science and information.
On the other hand, the present documented cases in Ghana makes it the 6th nation in Africa to record the highest number of coronavirus cases.
The others are Cameroon with 1,017 cases, Algeria with 2,629 cases, Morocco with 2,855 cases, Egypt with 3,144 cases and South Africa with 3,158 cases.